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Putin har forregnet sig 4 år 10 måneder siden #107

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Putin har forregnet sig 4 år 10 måneder siden #112

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Oversættelse af denne artikel er taget (hugget) fra Facebook:

The translation of the original article - www.vedomosti.ru/opinion/news/25086081/k...skuyu-naciyu?full#cu - has been taken from Facebook

RUSSIA/UKRAINE A QUESTION OF DIFFERENT NARRATIVES. Without trying to be a contrarian with regard to what's playing out in Ukraine, it seems like Russia is running out of steam and losing its momentum on the ground. I'm not saying that there's no danger or that tension has abated. There's plenty of both with the tragedy and drama of Odessa only a few days ago, and the propaganda war raging at the same hysterical pitch in Russian media. There's more than enough to worry about. Nevertheless, the risk of a Russian assault on Ukraine and a fullblown military operation on Ukrainian territory seems less likely than some weeks ago.
As we have known from the very beginning, East and South Ukraine are a very different story than Crimea. But lately, it looks as if Moscow is reconsidering its options and reshuffling its cards.
So what's new here, what happened in the weeks after Geneva? What happened might be the realization that the popular support in the Ukrainian regions is not as massive as Moscow needed and had hoped. What looks as strong support from the local pro-Russian populations with crying women and hysterical babushkas in front of Ukrainian tanks and armored personnel carriers makes for good TV images, but it's far from massive. It's dramatic enough, but it's not deep.
What we are watching is the clash not of two hostile populations, but of two different narratives that has forced Moscow to face its own deception and its dream scenario - the people of East and South rising in support of the separatists and their militia fighters demanding a referendum and federalization. It's just not happening on that scale. For a good reason. The differences between the two populations are simply not running as deep as Moscow was calculating on. Perhaps Putin and his people have had to modify their views and policies after having read the same studies and opinion polls, that Maria Snegovaya refers to in Vedomosti, the leading Russian Business daily. She is a sociologist and a scholar at Columbia University in New York. In her article, How Putin Creates a Ukrainian Nation, she states that contrary to his intention of dividing Ukrainians, Putin is helping Ukraine to become a normal European country and a united nation.

Based on reserach by Ukrainian and international scholars and numerous opinion polls, Snegovaya builds the case that Ukrainians in East, West and South have much more in common than what divides them. Russia's ministry of foreign affairs and its propganda machine try to convince the world that the South-Eastern regions are very different from other regions of Ukraine and much closer to Russia. Putin tries to prove that parts of Ukraine are orginally Russian territory that must be taken back. The aim of all these efforts is to create a gap between the populations in eastern and western Ukraine.
But based on systematic sociological studies and opinion polls, Snegovaya shows that there is no basis for these claims and that there are no fundamental differences in values and attitudes between these population groups. The numbers are striking. 86 percent of the population in both the East and West are equally in favor of a democratic system. Both groups are equally negative in their views of former president Yanukovich despite the fact that his power base is in the East of the country.
New polls show that the Maidan events served as a melting pot bringing groups from different parts opf the country together, About half of the Maidan acitivts came from the center and the East of Ukraine. Maidan was by no means just a "western" phenomenon.
The studies also show the importance of the generational factor and that young people in the East share the same pro-European values as their peers in the West. Snegovaya points out that nothing creates a feeling of national unity and identity as a foreign threat. This is one of the strongest triggers of nationalism. A majority of Ukrainians overwhelmingly condemns the idea of Russian troops on Ukrainian territory - 98 percent in the West, 73 percent in the South and 68 percent in the East. All regions are against the federalization of Ukraine and 52 percent of the population support integration with the EU, a jump of 10 percent from February to March.
When these numbers and studies come together they present a narrative that is very different from what the Russian government wants Russians and the world to believe. On that basis, it's easier to understand why Russia is not in a rush to send in its troops, and why it does not want to "own" Ukraine. It makes it a logical choice for the Kremlin to prefer further destabilization through selfdefense units and militia and creating situations that look like civil war in the hope to destabilize the country enough to prevent the presidential election on May 25th. But could it be that Moscow is seeing how this narrative is falling apart?
Russian speakers can read Snegovaya's article here and get all the details of her account. For everybody else - that's all you get today...
Sidste redigering: 4 år 10 måneder siden af Figaro.
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Putin har forregnet sig 4 år 10 måneder siden #113

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Hej Carlo.

Du har fundet en super artikel.

Det er nyheder som denne - artikler som disse, vi gerne vil se medlemmerne deler med andre.

Når nyheds-delen på de enkelte lande-sider kommer op, vil jeg spørge om din tilladelse til at denne nyhed bliver postet dér.

Mange mange tak
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Putin har forregnet sig 4 år 10 måneder siden #114

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Figaro skrev:
Når nyheds-delen på de enkelte lande-sider kommer op, vil jeg spørge om din tilladelse til at denne nyhed bliver postet dér.

Det er ikke mig du skal spørge om tilladelse, men artiklens forfatter. Men artiklens forfatter er uden tvivl interesseret i at det kommer så langt ud som muligt, så post bare så det sprøjter.
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Авторизованный переводчик - Ludmilla Smirnoff - Statsautoriseret translatør og tolk - Ludmilla.Smirnoff@gmail.com - 22 64 95 25

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